March 15, 2011 – Santa Clara, CA – The 12th annual ISQED conference (www.isqed.org) kicked off with the themes of next generation systems and applications. The keynote “Multitechnology Hyperintegration Platform: the technology crystal ball” by Dr. Kamran Eshraghian was very engaging and well received by the early morning audience. His discussion focused on the creation of disruptive technologies based on the SoS or System on System space. The innovation gestation period was shown by example to be about 30-50years from creation of the concept. This was illustrated under the timeline for the Memristor – it was theorized in 1971 and then realized in 2008, its manufacturability and integration into products is still on-going and is expeced to hit its peak in the 2020′s.
On a similar schedule, the new area of amibient intelligence – or pervasive computing and
connectivity was launched in 1987 and should see initial realization in 2020, with production in 2030′s. Another area of discussion was the creation and use of metamaterials. These are materials with non-standard characteristics since as a negative k factor for optics. These materials, as well as the continuing shrinking of micro designs to nano designs, will result in new interactive systems and sensors that will be largly photonic based. Dr. Eshraghian discussed how we currently don’t have a crystal ball to show how these pieces come together, but the direction is that the technology, once mature, does make its way into the nominal consumer culture on a global basis.
On the following technology progress line, the next speaker was Dr. Fabian Pease. His topic of discussion was “For how much longer can Moore’s Law hold?”. His discussion focused on the actual drivers from the current technology node, and made the argument it is NOT the transistors, it is the wiring that is in the scaling equation. The key to Moore’s law is the lithography scaling in both geometry and cost. The 500x increase in the cost of the litho equipment is directly proportional to the 500x decrease in the cost of minimum sized devices in the process. To make the next transistion, something radical has to happen.
In his discussion, he indicated the most significant advance in process technology since the start of the CMOS era, is the application and development of Chemical Mechanical Polishing (CMP). The next area of development to help maintain the density scaling is to move away from the confinement of a single plane technology. 3D technology and multi-technology stacking will help push the scaling for another several decades and will help remove the direct cost proportionality with the cost of litho. In the 3D world, the mixed technology allows for functions to be implemented with both high and low litho cost processes, that can meet the scaling rules for functionality and not exceed the cost constraints that are needed for high volume use.
The second day of the conference, Robert Patti of Tezzaron Semiconductor, gave an overview of 3D stacking technology, and their wafer bonding technology. The method they have developed and licensed to many major semiconductor companies, is based on face to face landing pad bonding of two designs – typically processors to memory, and can contain billions of vertical connections per 300mm wafer. The discussed the reliability of the bonds, and that thier methodology requires the application to create the test methodology based on post assembly test. They do not run tested die on the wafer, as it introduces mechanical damage to the wafers,, instead they rely on PCM tested wafers.
PC
March 15, 2011 – Santa Clara, CA – The 12th annual ISQED conference (www.isqed.org) kicked off with the themes of next generation systems and applications. The keynote “Multitechnology Hyperintegration Platform: the technology crystal ball” by Dr. Kamran Eshraghian was very engaging and well received by the early morning audience. His discussion focused on the creation of disruptive technologies based on the SoS or System on System space. The innovation gestation period was shown by example to be about 30-50years from creation of the concept. This was illustrated under the timeline for the Memristor – it was theorized in 1971 and then realized in 2008, its manufacturability and integration into products is still on-going and is expeced to hit its peak in the 2020′s.
On a similar schedule, the new area of amibient intelligence – or pervasive computing and connectivity was launched in 1987 and should see initial realization in 2020, with production in 2030′s. Another area of discussion was the creation and use of metamaterials. These are materials with non-standard characteristics since as a negative k factor for optics. These materials, as well as the continuing shrinking of micro designs to nano designs, will result in new interactive systems and sensors that will be largly photonic based. Dr. Eshraghian discussed how we currently don’t have a crystal ball to show how these pieces come together, but the direction is that the technology, once mature, does make its way into the nominal consumer culture on a global basis.
On the following technology progress line, the next speaker was Dr. Fabian Pease. His topic of discussion was “For how much longer can Moore’s Law hold?”. His discussion focused on the actual drivers from the current technology node, and made the argument it is NOT the transistors, it is the wiring that is in the scaling equation. The key to Moore’s law is the lithography scaling in both geometry and cost. The 500x increase in the cost of the litho equipment is directly proportional to the 500x decrease in the cost of minimum sized devices in the process. To make the next transistion, something radical has to happen.
In his discussion, he indicated the most significant advance in process technology since the start of the CMOS era, is the application and development of Chemical Mechanical Polishing (CMP). The next area of development to help maintain the density scaling is to move away from the confinement of a single plane technology. 3D technology and multi-technology stacking will help push the scaling for another several decades and will help remove the direct cost proportionality with the cost of litho. In the 3D world, the mixed technology allows for functions to be implemented with both high and low litho cost processes, that can meet the scaling rules for functionality and not exceed the cost constraints that are needed for high volume use.
The second day of the conference, Robert Patti of Tezzaron Semiconductor, gave an overview of 3D stacking technology, and their wafer bonding technology. The method they have developed and licensed to many major semiconductor companies, is based on face to face landing pad bonding of two designs – typically processors to memory, and can contain billions of vertical connections per 300mm wafer. The discussed the reliability of the bonds, and that thier methodology requires the application to create the test methodology based on post assembly test. They do not run tested die on the wafer, as it introduces mechanical damage to the wafers,, instead they rely on PCM tested wafers.
PC